JRWeather Winter Storm Warning In Effect Until 9AM Saturday; JRWeather Winter Weather Advisory In Effect Until 9AM Saturday; JRWeather Winter Storm Watch In Effect From 8AM Sunday To 8AM Monday
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UPDATED ALERTS BELOW DISCUSSION!
     A rather impressive storm system continues to effect the region, although its clear through radar imagery its beginning to wind down. Snow totals have been much higher then expected as some strong mesoscale banding has occurred across even northern portions of the area, resulting in widespread totals of 4-8 inches, across the international border of Vermont snow accumulations have been slightly less with a general 2-5 inches. Additional snow totals will range from 1-2 inches across the international border of Northern New York, and Vermont, and 1-3 inches across much of Northern New York, and Northern Vermont, with an additional 2-4 inches across Central and southern Vermont. This will lead to 6-12 inches total accumulation in the warning area, and 3-6 inches in the advisory area. This has unfortunately been a very "last minute" storm. It was such a rapidly moving and developing storm that it made it very difficult to forecast as far as the northern extent of the snow. As I mentioned though, this is extremely similar to the snow storm in February earlier this year, where the international border areas received significantly lighter amounts then area further south. Also the National Weather Service in Burlington has expanded the Winter Storm Warning to Cover Chittenden, Lamoille, and Caledonia Counties. The Advisory areas from the National Weather Service remain the same. You can see this on the above maps.
A detailed update on the Sunday/ Monday storm will be issued tomorrow. Currently though a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for this storm for the potential of 6-12 inches of snow. (The maps above don't depict the Watch over the counties only due to the current Advisory, and Warnings, however JRWeather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for the entire region.) There is rather strong confidence of a significant winter storm, that a Warning may be issued by tomorrow afternoon. If the NAM were to verify then we could see some very significant winter weather conditions. The most recent NAM model run indicates a rapid strengthening of 12 millibars in 6 hours, 992mb to 980mb, and further strengthening after that! Even with a lobe of calmer gradient winds across the region, if this type of strengthening were to occur, then we could see some rather impressive winds. I wont say much more, as I don't want to jinx myself. as stated a more detailed update on this storm will be issued tomorrow. Tonight's storm is most important right now.
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JRWeather WINTER STORM WARNING
     JRWeather continues a Winter Storm Warning For Bennington, Windham, Rutland, Windsor, and Eastern Addison County Until 9AM, And Has Expanded The Warning To Cover, Chittende, Lamoille, Caledonia, Orange, and Western Addison Counties in Vermont, And To Cover Essex, Southeastern St. Lawrence, Southwestern St. Lawrence, Southern Franklin, and Western Clinton Counties in New York.
     A low pressure system now moving rapidly to the east and off shore of the northern New Jersey Coast, has brought some unexpected snow totals. Thus the Winter Storm Warning has had to expand further north, with an advisory issued for the border counties of Vermont, and Northern New York. Light to moderate snow will continue across the region, with some occasionally heavy bursts of snow, especially across southern Vermont. Snow totals of 6-12 inches are possible in the Warning area by early Saturday Morning. Also of additional concern is winds 5-15 MPH with occasional gusts to 25MPH and temperatures in the 0 - 10F above has been creating wind chills in the 10 to 20 below zero range. Also with this being a very fluffy snow, not much wind is needed to blow it around, and blowing snow has been reported.
     Snow will rapidly taper off and should have pretty much come to an end by Saturday morning, Thus the Warning will end at 9AM when additional snow will be minimal if any at all. A Winter Storm Warning means severe Winter Storm conditions are expected, in this case, significant heavy snow, blowing snow, and very cold wind chills is expected/ occurring. Travel will continue to be strongly discouraged overnight.
JRWeather WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
     JRWeather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Grand Isle, Franklin, Orleans, and Essex Counties in Vermont, and Northern St. Lawrence, Northern Franklin, and Western Clinton Counties in New York until 9AM Saturday morning.
     A low pressure system now moving rapidly to the east and off shore of the northern New Jersey Coast, has brought some unexpected snow totals. Thus a last minute winter weather advisory has been needed for the border counties of New York. Light to moderate snow will continue across the region, with some occasionally heavy bursts of snow, especially across southern Vermont. Snow totals of 3-6 inches are possible in the advisory area by early Saturday Morning. Also of additional concern is winds 5-15 MPH with occasional gusts to 25MPH and temperatures in the 0 - 10F above has been creating wind chills in the 10 to 20 below zero range. Also with this being a very fluffy snow, not much wind is needed to blow it around, and blowing snow has been reported.
     Snow will rapidly taper off and should have pretty much come to an end by Saturday morning, Thus the advisory will end at 9AM when additional snow will be minimal if any at all. A Winter Weather Advisory is issued when significant but not severe winter weather is expected. In this case the winter weather advisory is for moderate amounts of snow, along with blowing snow, and very cold wind chills. Travel will continue to be very hazardous, and if you can delay your travel plans please do so.
JRWeather WINTER STORM WATCH
     JRWeather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York From 8AM Sunday to 8AM Monday.
     A double barrel low pressure system is forecasted to form across Western New York. The Low pressure system will transfer its energy to a single low off the coast of New Jersey. This low pressure system is expected to intensify significantly while it heads northeast into northeastern Maine, and eventually the Canadian Maritimes. Snow should develop mid Sunday morning, and progressively become heavier throughout the day. Total snow accumulations in excess of 6 inches appear likely across the Watch area, by the time the storm ends Monday morning.
     Snow should taper off and should have pretty much come to an end by Monday morning, however winds will likely already be rather gusty and will be causing some blowing and drifting snow. A Winter storm watch is issued when there is a strong potential for severe winter weather, but not imminent. Stay tuned for further updates.

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