Saturday, December 27, 2008

High Wind Warning, Wind Advisory, & Flood Watch

Local Update...
   Strong Winds, And Rain For The Rest Of The Weekend; JRWeather High Wind Warning In Effect From 8AM Sunday To 12PM Monday; JRWeather Wind Advisory in Effect From 8AM Sunday To 12PM Monday; JRWeather Flood Watch In Effect Until 12AM Monday...


JRWeather HIGH WIND WARNING
     JRWeather has issued a High Wind Warning For St. Lawrence, Franklin, Western Clinton, and Western Essex Counties in New York From 8AM Sunday To 12PM Monday.

     Another low pressure system and its associated strong cold front over the Midwest region, combined with a high pressure system over the Atlantic will result in a tightening pressure gradient. This will cause the potential for damaging winds across portions of Northern New York once again. Current indications are that sustained winds will range from 25-40MPH with gusts in excess of 55MPH. Winds of this magnitude are strong enough to cause small/ weak trees and large limbs to fall resulting in the potential for power outages, and of additional concern, since its the holiday season, holiday decorations that have not yet been taken down stand the threat of being damaged, and blown around. It is recommended to secure loose objects, as well as holiday decorations so damage will be minimal if any. The strongest winds will likely occur as the cold front sweeps across the region Sunday evening, through the overnight hours. This wind event will be similar to the one that occurred a couple days ago.

     Winds should diminish through Monday morning, thus ending the high wind threat by noontime. A High Wind Warning is issued when sustained winds of 40MPH or greater and/or gusts to 55MPH or greater are imminent or occurring. Stay tuned for further updates.


JRWeather WIND ADVISORY
     JRWeather has issued a Wind Advisory For All Of Vermont and Eastern Essex, and Eastern Clinton Counties In Northern New York From 8AM Sunday To 12PM Monday.

     A low pressure system, and its strong cold front over the Midwest region, combined with a high pressure system over the Atlantic will result in a tightening pressure gradient. This will once again result in strong winds across the entire region. Winds will range from 15-30MPH with gusts in excess of 45MPH. Winds of this magnitude are strong enough to cause minor power outages, and of additional concern, since its the holiday season, holiday decorations that have not been taken down yet stand the threat of being damaged, and blown around. It is recommended to secure loose objects, as well as holiday decorations so damage will be minimal if any. This wind event will be similar to the one we had a couple days ago.

     Winds should diminish throughout morning on Monday thus ending the high wind threat by noontime. A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds of 30-39MPH or gusts to 54MPH are expected. Stay tuned for further updates.


JRWeather FLOOD WATCH
     JRWeather Continues The Flood Watch for all of Northern New York, and All of Vermont except Grand Isle County, Until 12AM Monday.

     A Low pressure system over the Midwest region will bring some strong southerly winds across the entire region. These winds have brought in Warmer temperatures throughout the region, low to mid 40'sF are being reported area wide, with a few locations reporting around 50F degrees. On Sunday even warmer temperatures are expected with upper 50'sF to near 60F in a few locations in the Valley regions, and Low to mid 50'sF across the higher elevations on Sunday. These near record temperatures for this time of season combined with strong winds, and rainfall amounts of a quarter to isolated amounts near three quarters of an inch, will result in rapid rises on area rivers. Temperatures have been cold enough for significant river ice to form, so the threat for ice jam flood exists, as river levels rise.

     Temperatures should rapidly fall later Sunday resulting in less runoff thus the potential threat for flooding will come to an end by around 12AM Monday. A Flood watch is issued when there is the potential for flooding to occur, but not imminent. Stay tuned for further updates.


DISCUSSION
     Well everything seems to be on track. Have updated the High Wind Watch to a Warning for much of Northern New York, and have put everyone else in a Wind Advisory. Winds will defiantly be gusty throughout Sunday. As the very strong cold front moves through, I would not be surprised to see many areas across the entire region having a brief gust up to 55MPH or so. These strong winds combined with warm temperatures will help melt snow very rapidly, and result in some significant runoff. One thing though is it does appear temps may be a bit cooler then first thought, however with the strong winds blowing, the snow should still melt significantly. Valley locations will lose almost all of their snow by Sunday night. The biggest flood threat is for ice jams, as rivers should be able to take most of the runoff. Any ice jams that form will result in flooding though, and the threat for ice jams does appear high into Sunday night. That's about all I have for now, so stay tuned for any further updates!


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