Thursday, December 18, 2008

Potential For 3 More Storms In The Comming Week

Local Update...
   Potentially Busy Week Coming Up; First Storm Tonight, Potential Second Storm Sunday Into Monday, Potential Third Storm Christmas Eve into Christmas...

     The National Weather Service in Burlington, Vermont has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Rutland, and Windsor Counties in Vermont for the potential of 4-8 inches of snow. The National Weather Service in Albany, New York has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 6-12 inches of snow. The National Weather Service in Burlington, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for portions of Central Vermont, and Essex County, New York for 3-6 inches of snow. JRWeather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for portions of Southern Vermont for 6-12 inches of snow, and a Winter Weather advisory for central Vermont and Essex County, New York for 3-6 inches of snow.

VIEW PREVIOUS POST FOR WINTER ALERT DETAILS!

STORM 1
     This first storm will effect the region Friday, starting in the morning, and ending by night. Extremely heavy snowfall rates will fall producing up to 12 inches of snow in about a 12 hour time span. Currently the low pressure system that will be responsible for this is over eastern Colorado, and by tomorrow morning, will be across eastern Ohio!! And then out to sea by late Friday Night!! Warnings, and Advisories may have to be shifted north, as models have been inching the precipitation further and further north with each run. I will wait for the next set of models runs to come out, and will have an update out around 11PM and 12AM. See previous post for all the Winter Storm Warning, and Advisory Details. Just of interesting note, some moisture has been continuing to effect Northern Vermont, and Northern New York, this is where that arctic boundary is, you can see on radar the sharp cut off to the north, if this remains where it is, this may serve as a means for moisture transport. Today an unexpected half to 2 inches of snow has fallen, and continues! Although granted its light.

STORM 2
     This storm may pack an even stronger punch, effecting pretty much the entire area, if NOT the entire area. This storm may be a potential bomb, intensifying from 996mb to 976mb in less then 24 hours!! And then as it shifts just north of Maine GFS indicates it could get to 966mb!!!!!! If that were true, this could be a Blizzard, and if it intensifies much sooner, then models depict, then this could very well be a storm to remember, for a few years anyway. The NAM also gives this a bit of back up as in 84 hours it shows a 976mb low over Maine as well. This does not necessarily mean a blizzard but the potential is there. Remember though this IS NOT written in stone, we still have 3-4 days to go before the snow may start to fall from this one. The way things have been this year, lets unfortunately hold our excitement to a minimum.

STORM 3
     We may finally get a storm that I have always wanted. (Its happened before but not for while anyway) A storm we will be able to name, and name a rather important name. The 2008 Christmas Nor'easter! Models have been indicating a decent storm could develop for Christmas eve into Christmas, however the last couple runs have seem to lose this storm, and turn it into more of an open low pressure wave, or a frontal system. The frontal system may be correct, as the day after Christmas temperatures may plummet into the single digits for highs and teens below zero for lows region wide. If not colder! But we will once again play it safe, and wait to write anything in stone. Either way, it appears the next seven days may be rather busy. Stay tuned!!


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