Lake Effect Snow, Clipper System, Then M.A.Y.B.E. a Bigger One

Local Update...
   Heavy Lake Effect Snows Starting To Shift North; Clipper To Bring Widespread Light Snows To The Entire Area; Potential For A Big Storm Next Week...

     First off, there wont be too much detail in this post, due to the fact I have just made some brand new maps, and I need to get to bed, so I can get to work in the morning. With that said lets begin...
     Current situation to worry about is the lake effect snows which are now shifting north towards St. Lawrence County. Wind direction, current strength, and future forecast leads me to believe that Advisory Criteria snow will fall by the end of Friday Night. At this time the National Weather Service has not issued any official alerts. (Always stay tuned to your NOAA weather radio for official alerts from your local National Weather Service office.) The heaviest snow totals will be across the higher elevations of Southeastern St. Lawrence County, where isolated snow totals could exceed 6 inches. But as of now I have painted in a general 3 - 6 across Southern Portions of St. Lawrence, Franklin, and Western Essex Counties in New York. Just a couple interesting notes. Where the snow band is situated right now across Oswego, and Oneida Counties, National Weather Service Doppler radar is indicating an area of intense snowfall with snowfall rates in the 1 - 3 inches per hour range. But as stated above the band is beginning to shift slightly. The band will shift back and forth from north to south, which is helping keep totals only in advisory range. If the band were to situate itself over Southern St. Lawrence County then Warning Criteria snow could fall, but as of now that's not expected. Maps have been issued below for this system, Now the next topic...
     The next round of snow comes with a clipper system expected to reach the area Saturday Night into Sunday Night, this system may tap into a little bit of Atlantic moisture helping slightly enhance precipitation across the area, however its still not going to be all that significant. We should see widespread totals of 1-3 inches across the entire area, with some amounts in the 3-6 inch range in the Western Slopes of The Green Mountains, and Northern Adirondacks due to some upslope enhancement. No advisories or warnings are expected for this system, but an accumulation map will be issued sometime Friday Night. And one last topic to talk about...
     Now I don't want to jinx anything, but I do want to throw out to all of you what the models are showing, for the time frame of Dec. 10th - 12th DGEX, GFS, are showing a significant storm system to move out through the Southeastern States and up the coast. Models do not have a good handle on it, infact last night GFS has the forecasted central pressure down to 963mb which in tropical cyclones usualy is the strength of a Category 3 Hurricane. Similar to the 1993 Superstorm in aspect of general track, and strength (A bit further north and west). Models though are now showing still somewhat of a significant storm, but much weaker, and very elongated, looking more like a strong frontal system with snow on the backside. Since this is still so far away it will take some time before things become clearer. Never-the-less a storm is likely to occur between the 10th and 12th, however how strong, and widespread it is, remains to be seen. Right now my opinion is, its just going to be a very strong cold front, perhaps kicking up a weak to moderate strength low pressure system that rides up along the front. This would mean less snow, and would also be more apt to mesh with the current model runs. So all of us snow lovers wanting some significant snow, it looks like we may still continue to wait. Hopefully we will have a white Christmas, but right now, its not looking the best. Stay tuned!!!

I hope you all like the new maps, dont forget CLICK TO ENLARGE!!