Local Update...
Remnants Of Hurricane Ike Beggining To Bring In Strong To Damaging Winds...
At 12:14PM Area observations are indicating winds are increasing across Northern, and Western New York, as well as Northern, and Western Vermont. Below are a few observations as of 12:00AM.
All observations are sustained winds first denoted by direction abbreviation (ex. NW = Northwest) with gusts second denoted by the letter G (All readings in MPH)...
NEW YORK
Buffalo, NY: SW39 G53
Jamestown, NY: W33 G43
Watertown, NY: S21 G38
Saranac Lake, NY: S21 G30
Plattsburgh, NY: S17
Massena, NY: S14
VERMONT
Bennington, VT: S26 G44
Burlington, VT: S18 G25
Lyndonville, VT: S16 G25
Swanton, VT: S15 G32
Highgate, VT: S15 G24
Winds will continue to increase across Northern New York, and Vermont. Winds should remain steady for the next couple hours but begin to diminish by day break across Western New York. The isolated wind gusts to 60MPH across Buffalo and Massena look on track as Buffalo has had a wind gust to 53MPH. Either way there sustained winds meet warning criteria, and gusts are close behind. Everything looks on track as far as the chance for some isolated gusts to 60MPH for Massena, NY as well. Its also looking like a few other areas across Northern New York, may be able to hit some isolated 60MPH readings, such as Saranac Lake, Malone, and Fort Drum. Things will continue to be monitored for exactly how far east those isolated 60MPH readings will be possible. Stay tuned.
Monday, September 15, 2008
Sunday, September 14, 2008
Remnants Of Ike To Bring Strong Winds To The North Country
Local Update...
Remnants Of Hurricane Ike To Bring Strong Gusty Winds To The Area Overnight...
At 5PM Eastern time the remnants of Hurricane Ike was located 40 Miles west of Toledo, Ohio. Now that Ike is an extra-tropical low pressure system it can intensify as a normal low pressure system, so it should at least maintain its current strength. The remnants of Ike currently contains sustained winds of 35 - 45MPH with gusts of 60 - 70MPH. Infact a few gusts have been to hurricane strength, in Louisville (75MPH) and Covington, (74MPH) Kentucky a couple hours ago. For our area in Vermont, and Northern New York. We should see an increase of winds overnight until they peak out in the 20 - 30MPH range with gusts up to 50MPH very early monday morning. Areas such as Massena, and Buffalo, NY could see an isolated gust or two up to 60MPH, as these towns are closest to the forecasted track of the center. As far as rain goes, the heaviest of rain which should only be up to a half inch at maximum, will be across far Western, and Northern New York. Isolated showers are likely across the rest of the area.
As stated by the National Weather Service in Burlington, Vermont the track of Ike is similar to that of Hugo, as far as the track near the North Country. A wind gusts up to 52MPH was recored at the National Weather Service Office in Burlington, Vermont. Over Northern New York, there was some higher gusts, and there was also some minor tree and powerline damage across the area. So we could be looking at a similar situation. The chance for very isolated powerline/ tree damage exsists overnight into early tomorrow morning. See the maps below to see track similarities.
Images courtey of Unisys, and the National Hurricane Center.
Remnants Of Hurricane Ike To Bring Strong Gusty Winds To The Area Overnight...
At 5PM Eastern time the remnants of Hurricane Ike was located 40 Miles west of Toledo, Ohio. Now that Ike is an extra-tropical low pressure system it can intensify as a normal low pressure system, so it should at least maintain its current strength. The remnants of Ike currently contains sustained winds of 35 - 45MPH with gusts of 60 - 70MPH. Infact a few gusts have been to hurricane strength, in Louisville (75MPH) and Covington, (74MPH) Kentucky a couple hours ago. For our area in Vermont, and Northern New York. We should see an increase of winds overnight until they peak out in the 20 - 30MPH range with gusts up to 50MPH very early monday morning. Areas such as Massena, and Buffalo, NY could see an isolated gust or two up to 60MPH, as these towns are closest to the forecasted track of the center. As far as rain goes, the heaviest of rain which should only be up to a half inch at maximum, will be across far Western, and Northern New York. Isolated showers are likely across the rest of the area.
As stated by the National Weather Service in Burlington, Vermont the track of Ike is similar to that of Hugo, as far as the track near the North Country. A wind gusts up to 52MPH was recored at the National Weather Service Office in Burlington, Vermont. Over Northern New York, there was some higher gusts, and there was also some minor tree and powerline damage across the area. So we could be looking at a similar situation. The chance for very isolated powerline/ tree damage exsists overnight into early tomorrow morning. See the maps below to see track similarities.
Images courtey of Unisys, and the National Hurricane Center.
Saturday, September 13, 2008
Ike Makes Landfall Over Galveston Texas
TROPICAL UPDATE...
Hurricane Ike Makes Landfall Over Galveston Texas; Significant Damage Already Reported; Numerous Structure Fires On Galveston Island; Over 1.3 Million People Without Power In The Houston Area Alone...
At 2:10AM Central Time Hurricane Ike made landfall over Galveston, Texas. Winds continues to be sustained at 110MPH at the surface with sustained winds up to 140MPH across the elevated buildings that are 500+ feet high. In the greater Houston area alone, 1.3 Million people without power. The strongest winds should be just now making it into Houston. Numerous structure fires have occurred across Galveston. None of the fires have been fought due to extremely dangerous condition, and flooding, making it impossible to gain access to the buildings. At the latest update from the Hobby Airport weather station in Houston, Texas sustained winds were at 55MPH with gusts in excess of 75MPH, this was at 2AM Central time. Across Beaumont, Texas sustained winds were at 60MPH with gusts to 90MPH, this report was received at 3AM central time. A wind gust of 102MPH was also reported by a storm chaser a little east of Houston, in a town called Anahuac, Texas. Houston, and Beaumont areas will continue to experience very strong and damaging winds for hours, as these areas will not experience the brief calm as you do in the eye of a storm. Also numerous reports have been received from Galveston that large areas of the town are under water. Stay tuned for further updates.
Hurricane Ike Makes Landfall Over Galveston Texas; Significant Damage Already Reported; Numerous Structure Fires On Galveston Island; Over 1.3 Million People Without Power In The Houston Area Alone...
At 2:10AM Central Time Hurricane Ike made landfall over Galveston, Texas. Winds continues to be sustained at 110MPH at the surface with sustained winds up to 140MPH across the elevated buildings that are 500+ feet high. In the greater Houston area alone, 1.3 Million people without power. The strongest winds should be just now making it into Houston. Numerous structure fires have occurred across Galveston. None of the fires have been fought due to extremely dangerous condition, and flooding, making it impossible to gain access to the buildings. At the latest update from the Hobby Airport weather station in Houston, Texas sustained winds were at 55MPH with gusts in excess of 75MPH, this was at 2AM Central time. Across Beaumont, Texas sustained winds were at 60MPH with gusts to 90MPH, this report was received at 3AM central time. A wind gust of 102MPH was also reported by a storm chaser a little east of Houston, in a town called Anahuac, Texas. Houston, and Beaumont areas will continue to experience very strong and damaging winds for hours, as these areas will not experience the brief calm as you do in the eye of a storm. Also numerous reports have been received from Galveston that large areas of the town are under water. Stay tuned for further updates.
Outter Eyewall Of Ike Moving Over Land
TROPICAL UPDATE...
Hurricane Ike Beginning To Make Landfall Now...
National Weather Service Doppler Radar is indicating that the eye of Hurricane Ike is now moving over Galveston, Texas. Beaumont, Texas which is a little ways from the Ike's center is experiencing Sustained winds in excess of 60MPH with gusts now in excess of 80MPH. Looking at radar, the strongest winds are now moving over the Doppler radar site in Webster, Texas. So we may lose radar from this area. Also looking at radar, the heaviest winds are now headed for Houston. Things will continue to deteriorate inland. Already over 1 Million people are without power in and near the Houston area. Significant storm surge flooding has already been reported and it will only continue to worsen.
Hurricane Ike Beginning To Make Landfall Now...
National Weather Service Doppler Radar is indicating that the eye of Hurricane Ike is now moving over Galveston, Texas. Beaumont, Texas which is a little ways from the Ike's center is experiencing Sustained winds in excess of 60MPH with gusts now in excess of 80MPH. Looking at radar, the strongest winds are now moving over the Doppler radar site in Webster, Texas. So we may lose radar from this area. Also looking at radar, the heaviest winds are now headed for Houston. Things will continue to deteriorate inland. Already over 1 Million people are without power in and near the Houston area. Significant storm surge flooding has already been reported and it will only continue to worsen.
Hurricane Ike About To Make Landfall
TROPICAL UPDATE...
Hurricane Ike Continues Northwestward About To Make Landfall Near Galveston Island...
National Weather Service Doppler Radar indicates that Hurricane Ike is about to make landfall near Galveston Island. Observations across Northern Coastal Texas, and the Western Louisiana Coast indicate sustained winds to 60MPH and destructive Gusts in excess of 75 MPH. The current advisory from the National Hurricane Center indicates that sustained winds are at 110MPH with gusts to 135MPH. These are surface winds, on elevated surfaces such as high rise buildings with elevations from 400 - 800 feet could see some sustained winds at 140MPH. So for high rise buildings your experiencing category 4 winds, but since they only count the surface winds for what category the hurricane is, Ike remains a high category 2 hurricane. Ike may gain Category 3 strength just prior to landfall. Storm surge is forecasted to be as high as 25 feet in some areas. Direct from the National Weather Service a statement was made advising those people who live in single family one or two story homes along or very near the coast will face certain death. Stay tuned for further updates.
Hurricane Ike Continues Northwestward About To Make Landfall Near Galveston Island...
National Weather Service Doppler Radar indicates that Hurricane Ike is about to make landfall near Galveston Island. Observations across Northern Coastal Texas, and the Western Louisiana Coast indicate sustained winds to 60MPH and destructive Gusts in excess of 75 MPH. The current advisory from the National Hurricane Center indicates that sustained winds are at 110MPH with gusts to 135MPH. These are surface winds, on elevated surfaces such as high rise buildings with elevations from 400 - 800 feet could see some sustained winds at 140MPH. So for high rise buildings your experiencing category 4 winds, but since they only count the surface winds for what category the hurricane is, Ike remains a high category 2 hurricane. Ike may gain Category 3 strength just prior to landfall. Storm surge is forecasted to be as high as 25 feet in some areas. Direct from the National Weather Service a statement was made advising those people who live in single family one or two story homes along or very near the coast will face certain death. Stay tuned for further updates.
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
Hurricane Ike Eyeing Texas
First and foremost I just want to quickly apologize for not posting recently, I have been busy with work, and installing my Personal Weather Station (PWS), it all seems to be working properly. So with a few extra minute before I am off for bed, I will send out an update on Hurricane Ike.
TROPICAL UPDATE...
Hurricane Ike Continues Northwestward Eyeing Texas; Will Likely Make Landfall As A Major Hurricane, From The Central Texas Coast Or Further North...
HURRICANE IKE...
Currently Hurricane Ike is moving into the Central gulf of Mexico at 7MPH. Sustained winds are 100MPH with higher gusts, and the minimum central pressure is down to 942 millibars. So with that said, if you know a little bit about hurricanes your probably saying "That pressures low, why are the winds only at 100MPH?" Well the answer is, that Ike's pressure field has expanded, meaning the Tropical Storm and hurricane force winds have expanded out even further from the center. This can happen sometimes instead of an increase in wind speed, although an increase in wind speed is still likely to follow at some point. Anyway, Hurricane Ike is a large Hurricane, the Hurricane strength winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center!!! The tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230 miles! Very impressive! They eye of Ike may not be very well defined, but that has not kept this monster from growing. Ike will continue moving in a Northwest to West-Northwest motion until Landfall. Once Ike makes landfall on the Central to Northern Texas coast it will move suddenly to the North then to the Northeast. Tropical storm force winds will be felt well ahead of the landfall of Ike, and same with the Hurricane strength winds. The large hurricane strength wind field is the most significant thing because that means a larger area will experience hurricane strength winds, and for a long period of time. This means more widespread damage. Stay tuned for further updates.
TROPICAL UPDATE...
Hurricane Ike Continues Northwestward Eyeing Texas; Will Likely Make Landfall As A Major Hurricane, From The Central Texas Coast Or Further North...
HURRICANE IKE...
Currently Hurricane Ike is moving into the Central gulf of Mexico at 7MPH. Sustained winds are 100MPH with higher gusts, and the minimum central pressure is down to 942 millibars. So with that said, if you know a little bit about hurricanes your probably saying "That pressures low, why are the winds only at 100MPH?" Well the answer is, that Ike's pressure field has expanded, meaning the Tropical Storm and hurricane force winds have expanded out even further from the center. This can happen sometimes instead of an increase in wind speed, although an increase in wind speed is still likely to follow at some point. Anyway, Hurricane Ike is a large Hurricane, the Hurricane strength winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center!!! The tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230 miles! Very impressive! They eye of Ike may not be very well defined, but that has not kept this monster from growing. Ike will continue moving in a Northwest to West-Northwest motion until Landfall. Once Ike makes landfall on the Central to Northern Texas coast it will move suddenly to the North then to the Northeast. Tropical storm force winds will be felt well ahead of the landfall of Ike, and same with the Hurricane strength winds. The large hurricane strength wind field is the most significant thing because that means a larger area will experience hurricane strength winds, and for a long period of time. This means more widespread damage. Stay tuned for further updates.
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
Tropics Going Insane
TROPICAL UPDATE...
Gustav's Remnant Low Continues To Bring Flooding Rain; Hanna Threatens The South Carolina Coast; Ike Becomes The Third Major Hurricane Of The Season, South Florida Watch Out...
TROPICAL OVERVIEW
There is three storms out in the busy Atlantic basin, Now the next most important system I would talk about is Hanna right? Not at all. Hanna will be brought up first due to its forecasted landfall on Friday evening, however its only going to be a Category 1 hurricane at landfall. Yes wind damage, and heavy rain will occur but Ike will take away the headlines for a while. Josephine will likely drift back out to sea and be nothing significant.
TROPICAL STORM HANNA
As stated Hanna will be mentioned first only due to her "near" future landfall on Friday. Currently Hanna has sustained winds of 65MPH with higher gusts. Minimum central pressure is at 989 millibars. Hanna has just recently started taking a very slight northwestward turn, allowing its heading to be classified as North-Northwest. Hanna may turn slightly more to the Northwest until it becomes within 100 miles of Coastal Georgia. Hanna will then turn more Northerly and eventually Northeasterly. Hanna will likely make landfall near the South Carolina/ North Carolina border as a Category 1 Hurricane. Hanna will then ride up the east coast as a tropical storm bringing heavy rains to the mid-Atlantic, and northeast through Sunday morning before it moves up into Canada. This storm will bring its share of wind and rain, but wont be anything overly significant.
MAJOR HURRICANE IKE
Now Hurricane Ike is the storm to talk about, and to be worried about. Hurricane Ike has become the third major hurricane of the season. Of more concern is that Ike is now an extremely dangerous Category 4 Hurricane. Ike has gone from a Strong Tropical Storm with sustained winds of 70MPH and a minimum central pressure of 991 millibars at 11AM this morning to a Category 4 Hurricane with sustained winds of 135MPH with gusts to 160MPH and a minimum central pressure of 948 millibars at 11PM this evening. This storm has clearly exploded. This intensification is phenomenal. If you do the math since 11AM this morning Ike has been intensifying at a rate of 3.6 millibars an hour for 12 hours, dropping an impressive 43 millibars in 12 hours. Intensification is likely not over yet, as the eye which was rather ragged continued to become more and more symmetrical. I would not be surprised to see Ike become a Category 5 hurricane for a short period of time. I will have to admit though, the track of Ike concerns me a lot. I don't want to scare anyone, but I just want to quickly mention Hurricane Andrew. Is this track similar? Not really. Andrew went across the southern tip of Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico. The reason I mention Andrew is because there is some potential that Ike could make landfall on the Southern Florida Peninsula, and it could be rather strong. Its been a long while since we have had a land falling Category 5 Hurricane in the United States. The last I do believe was Andrew, could Ike be the next, making a similar landfall in South Florida? This is a situation that needs to be watched. Models indicate some shear to attempt to weaken Ike in a few days, after that shear is expected to weaken quite a bit, but still there will be some weak shear, so a Category 5 hurricane by then will be less likely. If Ike becomes a Category 5 Hurricane it will be in the area it is now. Never-the-less I still want to make it a note that Ike could very well hit South Florida as a strong hurricane, Only time will tell. Models indicate that Ike will make it up to the Bahamas, but they then disagree on where it goes from there, will it continue towards Florida, or will it re-curve out to sea just before reaching Florida? It should come very close to south Florida, a landfall though is not exact, we will have to wait for further model runs to come in to determine that.
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE
Last but not least is Tropical Storm Josephine. Currently sustained winds are at 50MPH with some higher gusts. Minimum central pressure is only 1000 millibars. This storm currently looks like it may not become all that impressive. It appears cooler waters and shear will have a hard impact on Josephine, and this storm will be nothing impressive. Models indicate a turn to the Northwest in around 96 - 120 hours, this is likely the beginning of re-curvature. So if Josephine makes it through the shear and cooler water, she will likely just head back out to sea anyway. Stay tuned for further updates on all tropical systems.
Gustav's Remnant Low Continues To Bring Flooding Rain; Hanna Threatens The South Carolina Coast; Ike Becomes The Third Major Hurricane Of The Season, South Florida Watch Out...
TROPICAL OVERVIEW
There is three storms out in the busy Atlantic basin, Now the next most important system I would talk about is Hanna right? Not at all. Hanna will be brought up first due to its forecasted landfall on Friday evening, however its only going to be a Category 1 hurricane at landfall. Yes wind damage, and heavy rain will occur but Ike will take away the headlines for a while. Josephine will likely drift back out to sea and be nothing significant.
TROPICAL STORM HANNA
As stated Hanna will be mentioned first only due to her "near" future landfall on Friday. Currently Hanna has sustained winds of 65MPH with higher gusts. Minimum central pressure is at 989 millibars. Hanna has just recently started taking a very slight northwestward turn, allowing its heading to be classified as North-Northwest. Hanna may turn slightly more to the Northwest until it becomes within 100 miles of Coastal Georgia. Hanna will then turn more Northerly and eventually Northeasterly. Hanna will likely make landfall near the South Carolina/ North Carolina border as a Category 1 Hurricane. Hanna will then ride up the east coast as a tropical storm bringing heavy rains to the mid-Atlantic, and northeast through Sunday morning before it moves up into Canada. This storm will bring its share of wind and rain, but wont be anything overly significant.
MAJOR HURRICANE IKE
Now Hurricane Ike is the storm to talk about, and to be worried about. Hurricane Ike has become the third major hurricane of the season. Of more concern is that Ike is now an extremely dangerous Category 4 Hurricane. Ike has gone from a Strong Tropical Storm with sustained winds of 70MPH and a minimum central pressure of 991 millibars at 11AM this morning to a Category 4 Hurricane with sustained winds of 135MPH with gusts to 160MPH and a minimum central pressure of 948 millibars at 11PM this evening. This storm has clearly exploded. This intensification is phenomenal. If you do the math since 11AM this morning Ike has been intensifying at a rate of 3.6 millibars an hour for 12 hours, dropping an impressive 43 millibars in 12 hours. Intensification is likely not over yet, as the eye which was rather ragged continued to become more and more symmetrical. I would not be surprised to see Ike become a Category 5 hurricane for a short period of time. I will have to admit though, the track of Ike concerns me a lot. I don't want to scare anyone, but I just want to quickly mention Hurricane Andrew. Is this track similar? Not really. Andrew went across the southern tip of Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico. The reason I mention Andrew is because there is some potential that Ike could make landfall on the Southern Florida Peninsula, and it could be rather strong. Its been a long while since we have had a land falling Category 5 Hurricane in the United States. The last I do believe was Andrew, could Ike be the next, making a similar landfall in South Florida? This is a situation that needs to be watched. Models indicate some shear to attempt to weaken Ike in a few days, after that shear is expected to weaken quite a bit, but still there will be some weak shear, so a Category 5 hurricane by then will be less likely. If Ike becomes a Category 5 Hurricane it will be in the area it is now. Never-the-less I still want to make it a note that Ike could very well hit South Florida as a strong hurricane, Only time will tell. Models indicate that Ike will make it up to the Bahamas, but they then disagree on where it goes from there, will it continue towards Florida, or will it re-curve out to sea just before reaching Florida? It should come very close to south Florida, a landfall though is not exact, we will have to wait for further model runs to come in to determine that.
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE
Last but not least is Tropical Storm Josephine. Currently sustained winds are at 50MPH with some higher gusts. Minimum central pressure is only 1000 millibars. This storm currently looks like it may not become all that impressive. It appears cooler waters and shear will have a hard impact on Josephine, and this storm will be nothing impressive. Models indicate a turn to the Northwest in around 96 - 120 hours, this is likely the beginning of re-curvature. So if Josephine makes it through the shear and cooler water, she will likely just head back out to sea anyway. Stay tuned for further updates on all tropical systems.
Monday, September 1, 2008
Gustav Still A Hurricane; Elsewhere In The Tropics Significant Trouble Is Brewing
GUSTAV UPDATE...
Heavy Rains and Strong Winds Continue To Batter Louisiana; Stronger Winds And Heavy Rain Are Begining To Move Into Far Eastern Texas Now...
National Weather Service Doppler radar continues to indicate the eye of hurricane Gustav moving Northwest at around 14MPH. Over the past 45 - 60 minutes or so though, it appears Gustav may be slowing down now. This will have to be monitored. Currently the center is near Alexandria, Louisiana. Right now in and around Alexandria heavy rain of up to 3 inches per hour are falling. Radar estimates that up to 8 inches of rain has fallen in and around this area. Numerous Flash Flood Warnings are out across the entire state of Louisiana. A Tornado warning is out for areas just east of Alexandria. Sustained winds as of 9PM central time at the Alexandria International airport are 32MPH with gusts to 48MPH. At around 8PM central time the International airport there reported a wind gust to 61MPH. Widespread tree, and power line damage has been reported from central Louisiana, back across Southeastern Louisiana. Numerous power outages have been reported. Tornadoes have been reported as well across Central, and Eastern Louisiana, as well as adjacent Mississippi.
As far as storm surge flooding goes reported of storm surge flooding have been received in Gulfport, Mississippi, and in Waveland, and Plaquemines, Louisiana. At Plaquemines the storm surge this morning was reported to be at 9 feet. This is all the storm surge reports I have been able to find thus far. I am sure far more reports will come in later.
Now for more details on winds, and movement of Gustav. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center at 7PM Central time indicates that sustained winds remains at 75MPH with gusts to 95MPH. Minimum central pressure has risen to 972 millibars. On the next advisory which should becoming out shortly, Gustav will likely be down to a tropical depression. The forecast continues to indicate slowing of Gustav and eventually a turn to the north on Wednesday and then northeast around Friday.
TROPICS UPDATE...
Just a quick note on the tropics. As you may or may not know Hanna is still drifting around out there near the Caicos Islands, with sustained winds of 80MPH. Also Tropical storm Ike formed earlier today, now with sustained winds of 50MPH, this storm is still way out in the open waters, approximately 1400 miles west of the eastern Leeward islands. And of course another very well defined tropical wave is just off the coast of Africa, and this looks very likely to form into the next tropical depression in the next day or so, and eventually the next named storm, which would be Josephine. So things will likely remain busy for the next couple weeks. Of the next most significant concern though will be what Hurricane Hanna will do. All the above storms you can see on the above infrared satellite image. The next tropical depression and possible named storm Josephine is east of Ike, and this particular satellite image does not show it. Stay tuned!!
Heavy Rains and Strong Winds Continue To Batter Louisiana; Stronger Winds And Heavy Rain Are Begining To Move Into Far Eastern Texas Now...
National Weather Service Doppler radar continues to indicate the eye of hurricane Gustav moving Northwest at around 14MPH. Over the past 45 - 60 minutes or so though, it appears Gustav may be slowing down now. This will have to be monitored. Currently the center is near Alexandria, Louisiana. Right now in and around Alexandria heavy rain of up to 3 inches per hour are falling. Radar estimates that up to 8 inches of rain has fallen in and around this area. Numerous Flash Flood Warnings are out across the entire state of Louisiana. A Tornado warning is out for areas just east of Alexandria. Sustained winds as of 9PM central time at the Alexandria International airport are 32MPH with gusts to 48MPH. At around 8PM central time the International airport there reported a wind gust to 61MPH. Widespread tree, and power line damage has been reported from central Louisiana, back across Southeastern Louisiana. Numerous power outages have been reported. Tornadoes have been reported as well across Central, and Eastern Louisiana, as well as adjacent Mississippi.
As far as storm surge flooding goes reported of storm surge flooding have been received in Gulfport, Mississippi, and in Waveland, and Plaquemines, Louisiana. At Plaquemines the storm surge this morning was reported to be at 9 feet. This is all the storm surge reports I have been able to find thus far. I am sure far more reports will come in later.
Now for more details on winds, and movement of Gustav. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center at 7PM Central time indicates that sustained winds remains at 75MPH with gusts to 95MPH. Minimum central pressure has risen to 972 millibars. On the next advisory which should becoming out shortly, Gustav will likely be down to a tropical depression. The forecast continues to indicate slowing of Gustav and eventually a turn to the north on Wednesday and then northeast around Friday.
TROPICS UPDATE...
Just a quick note on the tropics. As you may or may not know Hanna is still drifting around out there near the Caicos Islands, with sustained winds of 80MPH. Also Tropical storm Ike formed earlier today, now with sustained winds of 50MPH, this storm is still way out in the open waters, approximately 1400 miles west of the eastern Leeward islands. And of course another very well defined tropical wave is just off the coast of Africa, and this looks very likely to form into the next tropical depression in the next day or so, and eventually the next named storm, which would be Josephine. So things will likely remain busy for the next couple weeks. Of the next most significant concern though will be what Hurricane Hanna will do. All the above storms you can see on the above infrared satellite image. The next tropical depression and possible named storm Josephine is east of Ike, and this particular satellite image does not show it. Stay tuned!!
Hurricane Force Winds Battering Southeastern Louisiana
GUSTAV UPDATE...
Hurricane Force Winds Moving On Shore In Southeastern Louisiana; Tornado Warning Issued For Orleans Parish...
Reports from the Southwestern Pass, Louisiana has indicated sustained winds of 75MPH with gusts to 108MPH. Across New Orleans Lake Front sustained winds are at 40MPH with gusts to 50MPH. At Boothville, Louisiana winds are sustained at 44MPH with gusts to 61MPH. Winds across all areas will continue to increase. Not only along the Southeastern Louisiana coast but across the rest of the Louisiana coast, and back across the Mississippi, and Alabama coast.
Of next concern is the severe weather potential, as far as thunderstorms go. Currently a Tornado warning has been issued for Orleans Parish in Louisiana, and another one for Mobile, Alabama. These warnings are in effect until 4AM. Tornadoes will continue to be possible across Louisiana, Mississippi, and Coastal Alabama well into tomorrow.
Satellite trends continue to indicate a weakening Hurricane. I would not be surprised if at the 4AM CDT advisory if it is down to a Category 2 hurricane. This is somewhat good news for people across the region but unfortunately even if it is a Category 2 hurricane it will likely make landfall as a strong category 2. This will still cause widespread destruction, and significant and life threatening storm surge flooding. Stay tuned for further updates!
Hurricane Force Winds Moving On Shore In Southeastern Louisiana; Tornado Warning Issued For Orleans Parish...
Reports from the Southwestern Pass, Louisiana has indicated sustained winds of 75MPH with gusts to 108MPH. Across New Orleans Lake Front sustained winds are at 40MPH with gusts to 50MPH. At Boothville, Louisiana winds are sustained at 44MPH with gusts to 61MPH. Winds across all areas will continue to increase. Not only along the Southeastern Louisiana coast but across the rest of the Louisiana coast, and back across the Mississippi, and Alabama coast.
Of next concern is the severe weather potential, as far as thunderstorms go. Currently a Tornado warning has been issued for Orleans Parish in Louisiana, and another one for Mobile, Alabama. These warnings are in effect until 4AM. Tornadoes will continue to be possible across Louisiana, Mississippi, and Coastal Alabama well into tomorrow.
Satellite trends continue to indicate a weakening Hurricane. I would not be surprised if at the 4AM CDT advisory if it is down to a Category 2 hurricane. This is somewhat good news for people across the region but unfortunately even if it is a Category 2 hurricane it will likely make landfall as a strong category 2. This will still cause widespread destruction, and significant and life threatening storm surge flooding. Stay tuned for further updates!
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