Previous Post

I just wanted to apologize for the typing mistake on the maps. The first map is Tuesday, April, 15th the Second is Wednesday, April, 16th, and the third is Thursday April, 17th. All three maps say Tuesday. I apologize for that mistake.

Amazing Rest Of The Week, As Flooding Continues, and Fire Threat Increases

Hey Everyone,
     For a change I am not here to really talk about anything all that horrible with the weather. I am here to talk about how amazing the rest of the week is gonna be, along with some continued flood problems, and the increase for wildfires.
     So to start things off the next several days will be amazing, temps ranging from 50F-60F on Tuesday 4/15/08 to 58F-68F on Wednesday 4/16/08 to 65F-75F on Thursday, and Friday. Skies will be mostly sunny.
     The next problem arises with these temperatures, in two forms, snow melt, which will cause continued flooding on lake Champlain, and an increase in fire growth potential. As the temps rise, and dewpoints stay low, relative humidity levels will stay low, meaning it will be dry out. With these continued warm temps and dry atmosphere, fine fuels such as dead grass, leafs, and twigs/ small brush will burn very easily.
     Tuesday (today) 4/15/08 wont be to bad, higher elevations will see a moderate risk for fire growth/ spread if a fire were to develop, and the valleys would see a high risk of fire growth/ spread if a fire were to develop.
   On Wednesday 4/16/08 the fire threat will remain the same as it was on the 15th, except for the St. Lawrence Valley where stronger winds will help create a very high risk of fire growth/ spread.
   By the time we get to Thursday, higher elevations will see a high risk, and lower elevations will see a very high risk. The reasoning for this is, by Thursday all fine fuels will become very dry. So the threat overall increases. The reason why the higher elevations are overall at a lower threat is because of the existing snow pack. I would like to make it clear, this is the forecast for fire growth/ spread, meaning if a fire were to DEVELOP (such as you burning grass/ brush or near dead grass or brush) the potential for it to grow and spread out of control is at the above mentioned rates. At the bottom of this post you will see the fire maps for Today, Wednesday, and Thursday. Aside to this, remember to have permission to burn from your local fire department, or fire warden, before burning.
     Now onto the last problem with the warm temperatures, which is continued flooding. Lake Champlain is currently at 100.34 Feet. Flood stage is 100.00 feet, the lake is beginning to level off, however with these upcoming warm temps, continued snow melt from the mountains will help add more water to the lake. Anyone with lake front property should continue to monitor this situation closely.

3AM Update

     Here is a quick update to the current rainfall totals map, and the forecasted rainfall totals map. Some very significant rain is moving into Northern New York, as well as some thunderstorms, this should move across the region and be out of the area by mid-morning. This has changed my rainfall totals a bit. So here are the new maps...

Flood Threat Increasing

Hey everyone,
     I would have had an update out sooner but I had an ambulance call. Anyway, on to the weather. Flood Watches have been issued for all of Northern New York, All of New Hampshire, and All of Vermont except Grand Isle County, for the potential of minor river and stream flooding, as well as Lake Champlain due to mainly snow melt. To add insult to injury of the already swollen rivers a half to one inch of rain will fall across the entire area. Already up to three quarters of an inch has fallen, mainly across the western slopes of the green mountains and southern Vermont, as well as Essex County New York. Other areas are significantly less.
     After a significant break in the action, rain has filled back in across much of the area. Below is a map of how much precipitation has fallen as of 6:45PM 4/11/08 and then how much rain is forecasted, and a map showing areas where flooding is a higher threat...







     Just a note, I would like to apologize for the delay on this post. I began working on the maps and stuff around 6:45PM and began typing this post at around 9:15PM (Its now 2:30AM) due to an ambulance call, I then was working on it, and had yet again another 2 ambulance calls. So I am sorry for the delay. I will attempt an update to the current totals map in a few minutes, as long as I dont have another ambulance call!!!