Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Amazing Rest Of The Week, As Flooding Continues, and Fire Threat Increases

Hey Everyone,
     For a change I am not here to really talk about anything all that horrible with the weather. I am here to talk about how amazing the rest of the week is gonna be, along with some continued flood problems, and the increase for wildfires.
     So to start things off the next several days will be amazing, temps ranging from 50F-60F on Tuesday 4/15/08 to 58F-68F on Wednesday 4/16/08 to 65F-75F on Thursday, and Friday. Skies will be mostly sunny.
     The next problem arises with these temperatures, in two forms, snow melt, which will cause continued flooding on lake Champlain, and an increase in fire growth potential. As the temps rise, and dewpoints stay low, relative humidity levels will stay low, meaning it will be dry out. With these continued warm temps and dry atmosphere, fine fuels such as dead grass, leafs, and twigs/ small brush will burn very easily.
     Tuesday (today) 4/15/08 wont be to bad, higher elevations will see a moderate risk for fire growth/ spread if a fire were to develop, and the valleys would see a high risk of fire growth/ spread if a fire were to develop.
   On Wednesday 4/16/08 the fire threat will remain the same as it was on the 15th, except for the St. Lawrence Valley where stronger winds will help create a very high risk of fire growth/ spread.
   By the time we get to Thursday, higher elevations will see a high risk, and lower elevations will see a very high risk. The reasoning for this is, by Thursday all fine fuels will become very dry. So the threat overall increases. The reason why the higher elevations are overall at a lower threat is because of the existing snow pack. I would like to make it clear, this is the forecast for fire growth/ spread, meaning if a fire were to DEVELOP (such as you burning grass/ brush or near dead grass or brush) the potential for it to grow and spread out of control is at the above mentioned rates. At the bottom of this post you will see the fire maps for Today, Wednesday, and Thursday. Aside to this, remember to have permission to burn from your local fire department, or fire warden, before burning.
     Now onto the last problem with the warm temperatures, which is continued flooding. Lake Champlain is currently at 100.34 Feet. Flood stage is 100.00 feet, the lake is beginning to level off, however with these upcoming warm temps, continued snow melt from the mountains will help add more water to the lake. Anyone with lake front property should continue to monitor this situation closely.





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