Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Snow On Its Way; JRWeather Winter Storm Warning In Effect

Local Update...
   JRWeather Winter Storm Warning In Effect Until 12AM Thursday...


JRWeather WINTER STORM WARNING
     JRWeather Continues The Winter Storm Warning for All Of Vermont and Northern New York Until 12AM Thursday.

     A low pressure system will move from Tennessee, and track northeast, and across extreme Southern New England Wednesday afternoon, then up into the Canadian Maritimes by Thursday afternoon.

     Snow will overspread the entire region by 7AM, and become heavy at times in the afternoon. Snowfall rates may reach 1-2 inches per hour for a time during the afternoon. Snow will start to tapper off this evening, and have pretty much come to an end by Midnight. Total snow accumulations in the Warning area will range from 8-14 inches with locally higher amounts along the Western Slopes of the Green Mountains by 12AM Thursday.

     A Winter Storm Warning is issued when severe winter weather is likely. In this case the Winter Storm Warning is for heavy amounts of snow. Travel will become hazardous Wednesday. If you MUST travel, use extreme caution. Stay tuned for further updates.


DISCUSSION
     Snow is attempting to push into Southern Vermont and Central New York right now, but it having a hard time, as the atmosphere is rather dry. Snow should overspread the entire region by 8AM. Northern New York, and Southern Vermont could see snow starting as early as 2 or 3AM. Snow should become heavy during the day Wednesday. A total of 8-14 inches is likely by the time the storm ends by 12AM Thursday. The snow output models are interesting. They are all indicating a minimum of around 8 inches. One of the more trusted snow output models the WRF, which has an exceptionally good background for forecasting snow for Vermont, and Northern New York is showing totals in the 10-15 inch range, with 15-20 inches for the Western Slopes of the Green mountains, in Vermont, and the Western Slopes of the Northern Adirondack Mountains in New York. I am not saying this is going to happen, but this model as I said, does have a very good history of being quite accurate. Its Just something to keep in the back of your mind. We will have to see how things go, before any additional changes to snow totals are made. If any will be made it will be later this morning, whether its to lower them a bit or to raise them a bit. We will have to wait and see. Updated maps have been issued below, as well as an updated video!!!


JRWEATHER SPECIAL REPORT



CLICK ON IMAGES TO ENLARGE!




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