JRWeather Winter Storm Warning & Winter Storm Watch In Effect From 12AM Wednesday Until 12AM Thursday...
JRWeather WINTER STORM WARNING
     JRWeather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Caledonia, Washington, Addison, Orange, Rutland, Windsor, Bennington, Windham, and Eastern Chittenden Counties In Vermont, and Essex County In New York From 12AM Wednesday Until 12AM Thursday.
     A low pressure system will form Tuesday across the Mississippi Valley area, and track northeast, and into the Mid-Atlantic States by Wednesday afternoon, then up into the Canadian Maritimes by Thursday afternoon.
     Snow will overspread the region Wednesday, and become heavy at times in the afternoon. Snowfall rates may reach 1 inch per hour for a time Wednesday. Snow will start to tapper off, and have pretty much come to an end by Midnight. Total snow accumulations in the Warning area look to range from 5-9 inches with locally higher amounts along the Western Slopes of the Green Mountains.
     A Winter Storm Warning is issued when severe winter weather is likely. In this case the Winter Storm Warning is for moderate to heavy amounts of snow. Travel will become hazardous Wednesday. If you MUST travel, use extreme caution. Stay tuned for further updates.
JRWeather WINTER STORM WATCH
     JRWeather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Grand Isle, Franklin, Orleans, Essex, Lamoille, and Western Chittenden County in Vermont, and St. Lawrence, Franklin, and Clinton Counties in Northern New York From 12AM Wednesday Until 12AM Thursday.
     A low pressure system will form Tuesday across the Mississippi Valley area, and track northeast, and into the Mid-Atlantic States by Wednesday afternoon, then up into the Canadian Maritimes by Thursday afternoon.
     Snow should develop Wednesday, and may become heavy at times. Total snow accumulations by 12AM Thursday have the potential to range from 5-9 inches across the Watch area, with the highest amounts across the Western Slopes of the Green Mountains. There is still some question as to how much snow will fall across the far Northern Counties of Vermont, and New York, thus the Watch will remain in effect.
     A Winter storm watch is issued when there is a strong potential for severe winter weather, but not yet imminent. In this case the Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the potential of significant amounts of snow. Stay tuned for further updates.
DISCUSSION
     Everything appears to be on track for another Winter Storm for our region. I have gone ahead and issued a Winter Storm Warning for the areas previously under a Winter Storm Watch, and put all Counties North of the Warning into a Winter Storm Watch. Although my forecast shows 5-9 inches across the entire region, with higher amounts along the Western slopes of the Green Mountains, I am not quite as confident of the high amounts across the far Northern Counties of Vermont, and New York quite yet, thus a Winter Storm Watch is in effect. Anyway you put it, everyone will likely see some snow.
     This system is actually rather impressive. Technically its two systems with a weak wave of low pressure currently bringing a round of Severe Winter Weather to the mid section of the Country, and another storm (the one that's going to bring us the snow) will form literally on the first storms heals, and track across the same areas the first one has, in the mid section of the Country. That's why I am going to stick with calling it one storm. The reason why its so impressive, is the fact that Winter Storm Alerts go from the US/ Mexican border in Texas, northeast, all the way to the US/ Canadian border in Maine!!! Although this wont be a historical storm for us here in New England, this storm will likely be remember for a very long time to come, across the mid section of the Country, as up to 2 inches of ice is expected from freezing rain. If these amounts are witnessed it will be catastrophic for the people down there.
     An additional reason as to why this is rather impressive besides the forecasted ice accumulations, and its far reaching effects across the Country, but the fact that this storm (according to models a few days ago) was never really supposed to happen. It was supposed to remain a weak wave of low pressure that was forecast to move of the Southeast coast, bringing some rain. However as days have passed, the models have continued to push the precipitation further and further north. In fact pressure wise, the storm was supposed to be rather weak, now models are starting to say it could strengthen to around 990mb while off the Southern New England Coast. Could this be a new trend in the models up until the storm hits? Who knows, but it definitely requires watching. Maps have been updated, and I have also decided to issue a little weather video. I have not done one for a while, so I threw one together quickly. Sorry for the volume issues with it. Hopefully you enjoy!!!!
JRWEATHER SPECIAL REPORT
CLICK ON IMAGES TO ENLARGE!
Maps are from earlier, hence the times being different from the post time. There was no need to update them prior to this post...



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