JRWeather Winter Storm Watch In Effect From 11AM Wednesday Until 12PM Thursday...
JRWeather WINTER STORM WATCH
JRWeather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York From 11AM Wednesday Until 12PM Thursday.
A low pressure system forming over the South Central United States will continue to form, and move North east. The parent low pressure center is forecasted to move Northeast, and into Western New York Wednesday and slow significantly or even stall out for a time. Energy will then transfer to the coast, where a new low pressure system will form off the coast of Southern New England and move into the Canadian Maritimes by Thursday night.
Light flurries/ snow showers should develop late Tuesday night, and steadier snow should move into the region for Wednesday Morning and continue light to moderate and occasionally heavy at times. Snow will then taper to light to occasionally moderate snow for the remainder of Wednesday Night into Thursday. Snow will likely mix with sleet for a time, across Central Vermont, and Essex County New York, and freezing rain and sleet in Southern Vermont. Total snow and sleet accumulations by Thursday night should range from 5-9 inches across Northern New York, and Northern and Central Vermont. Across Southern Vermont Snow and sleet accumulations will range from 3-5 inches, with significant ice accumulations of up to a half inch possible.
A Winter storm watch is issued when there is a strong potential for severe winter weather, but not imminent. In this case the Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the potential of significant amounts of snow, and ice. Stay tuned for further updates.
DISCUSSION
It looks like another significant storm system will be effect out region for the Mid-week time frame. I have issued a Winter Storm Watch as it appears 5-9 inches of snow/ sleet will fall across Northern and Central Areas, and 3-5 inches of snow/ sleet with up to a half inch of ice accumulation across Southern areas. The storm duration is going to be 24 hours or so. Snowfall totals are rather close to the Warning/ Advisory threshold, but with the threat of sleet, and some freezing rain as well to the south, I felt it will be significant enough to warrant a watch, and potential upgrade to a warning later on. We will see how the system develops.
Just a quick mention to a couple other potential significant weather events to keep an eye on. A possible clipper system is forecasted to move across the Northern United States and across the Northeast for Saturday. This is something to keep an eye on as earlier model runs were forecasting a rather significant snow storm, but have now turned it into a clipper system. We will have to watch how this unfolds, as models may lean back to a larger storm phasing with the southern stream. Also another clipper is expected to move into the region for next Tuesday. This clipper looks to usher in some extremely cold air. So from January 12th to at least January 20th we may be in for an extended period of very cold air. Temperatures for this entire period could range from single to teen digit highs to teens below zero lows, with even colder temperatures in the higher elevations. This though is quite some time out, and is subject to change. But it is something to keep a close eye on. Stay tuned!
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