Rain Continues Tonight

Local Report...
   Wrap Around Precipitation Continues...

DISCUSSION
     First off, there will be an update on the Monday - Tuesday storm later tonight. I just want to wait for the latest GFS model to come in. But until then we will talk a bit about whats been going on today...

     Significant wrap around precipitation continues at this hour. A bit more rain has fallen then first expected, especially across the Champlain Valley, of Vermont. Wrap around precipitation has been dominant the entire day today, as low pressure slowly drifts northeastward. Infact the area of wrap around moisture is so large its been effecting areas from Rochester, NY all the way to the Western Slopes of the Green mountains in Vermont.

     Rain although light has resulted in a half inch accumulation here in Swanton today, since about 7AM and light rain continues. Total rainfall from this storm which began on Friday is now almost to an inch. Snow has been mixing in with the rain especially at elevations above 1000 feet, although snow has been spotted mixing in with the rain all the way to the Valley floors, at times. Elevations of 1500 feet and higher across the Green Mountains of Vermont, and the Northern Adirondack Mountains of New York, could see 1-3 inches of accumulation with locally higher amounts. Very interesting situation across the Tug Hill Plateau, which is east of Lake Ontario. Across the Tug hill, snow accumulations have ranged from 3-6 inches with a recent report of 18.5 inches in Barnes Corners!! Snow looks to continue in that area for at least a couple more hours, Heavy at times as well. General accumulations across the tug hill at elevations of 1000-1300 feet should range from 3-6 inches, and elevations above 1300 feet will see a general accumulation of 5-9 inches with isolated amounts up to 12 inches. Infact, Barnes Corners could end up with as much as 2 feet of snow by early tomorrow morning!! Yikes!!!

     Looking at radar trends it looks like light valley rain, and mountain snow will continue for the overnight hours. The back edge of the wrap around moisture is finally beginning to move out of Rochester now. But it will take several hours to move through the rest of Northern New York, and Western Vermont. Upstream radars across Canada show more moisture being advected towards Vermont, as this system is trying to pull away. So an additional quarter inch of rain is not out of the question by Sunrise tomorrow. Isolated amounts slightly over a quarter inch could possibly occur by tomorrow morning. Stay tuned for an update on the upcoming storm for Monday and Tuesday.

     Also, the Flood Warning for the Batten Kill at Arlington, Vermont has been Cancelled. The River has already crested and has fallen below flood stage.