Flooding Ongoing Across Portions Of Southern Vermont, and Northern New York; Accumulating Snows To Effect The Region Monday; JRWeather Winter Weather Advisory In Effect From 2AM Monday Morning Until 2PM Monday Afternoon...
JRWeather FLOOD WARNING
JRWeather Has Issued A Flood Warning For Windham County in Vermont Until 12PM Monday.
Williams River Running Out Of Its Banks In Windham County Vermont.
At 3:45PM The Williams River at Rockingham was at a stage of 8.85 Feet. Flood State on the Williams River at Rockingham is 8.0 Feet. The river has been nearly steady since around 12PM.
The River jumped nearly 3 feet within 30 minutes this morning between 10:45AM and 11:15AM, and since then has been very slowly fluctuating. This is likely the result of an ice jam.
If you live near the Flood area, along the Williams River, it is recommended to move to higher ground. If you live downstream of the River, and no flooding is occuring, then watch the waterway closely, if the Jams lets go, water levels will rise rapidly downstream, similar to flash flooding.
A Flood Warning is issued when Flooding is occuring or imminent. If you live in a flood proned area, and that area is experiencing high water, move to higher ground immediatly. Stay tuned for further updates!
JRWeather FLOOD STATEMENT
JRWeather Has Issued A Flood Statement For Clinton, and Essex Counties in New York Until 11PM Tonight.
An Ice Jam on the East Branch of the Ausable River at Ausable Forks, is resulting in high water.
At 3:45PM the river gauge on the East Branch of the Ausable River at Ausable Forks, was showing erratic measurments, this is indicative of an ice jam that has been reported near the gauge. Water has been overflowing and causing some significant low land flooding. Water levels sould either drop or remain steady.
If you live near the East Branch of the Ausable river monitor closely for flooding, if flooding begins to occur then move to higher ground immediatly. If you live downstream of the River, and no flooding is occuring, then watch the waterway closely, if the Jam lets go, water levels will rise rapidly downstream, similar to flash flooding.
A Flood Statement is issued when minor nuisance flooding, such as low lying farm land, or poor drainage flooding is imminent or occuring, if flooding gets substantialy worse, move to higher ground immediatly. Stay tuned for further updates!
JRWeather WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
JRWeather Has Issued A Winter Weather Advisory For Grand Isle, Franklin, Chittenden, Lamoille, Caledonia, Addison, Washington, Orange, Rutland, Windsor, Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont, and All of Northern New York From 2AM Until 2PM Monday.
A low pressure system tracking from the Southern Great Lakes region, to near Long Island New York by Monday Afternoon will result in snow, possibly heavy at times across much of the region.
Snow should develop by 5AM across the Advisory area. Snow will fall heavy at times, especially Monday Morning. Snow should rapidly tapper off by late Monday afternoon. Total snow accumulations will range from 3-6 inches with Locally higher amounts across the Adirondack mountains, and Southern Green mountains, where localized amounts of 8 inches could fall.
A Winter Weather Advisory is issued when there is a strong likelihood of significant but not severe winter weather. In this case the Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for light to moderate amounts of snow. Stay tuned for further updates.
DISCUSSION
First off I apologize for not typing a discussion yesterday, I became side tracked and the I ended up going to bed early. Anyway, I have cancelled the Flood Watch for the area, the only areas of Flooding that occured have been across Southern Vermont, and Northeastern New York. So far all other areas are behaving at this point. Rivers are cresting, or receding at this time.
Winter is not done quite yet, snow should develop overnight, and become heavy at times. This is associated with a low pressure system that will move from the Southern Great Lakes region to near Long Island. Some mesoscale banding is possible which could result in some heavy snowfall rates for a time Monday morning. The monday morning commute will likely be difficult at best for some areas. One problem with the system is how far North the Snow line will be. It appears that it will have a rather Sharp cutoff, some models are indicating this line to be towards the Northeast Kingdom, and some indicate it being across Central Vermont, and Northeastern New York. At this time, I feel the cut off line will be across portions of the Northeast Kingdom in Vermont. Only time will tell. Stay tuned!
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Sorry for any mis-spellings, spell check is not working.
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