Sunday, November 30, 2008

Wintry Mix On Tap To Strike Vermont, and Northern New York

Local Update...
   Monday Morning Commute May Be Hampered By A Wintry Mix...

     The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT, and The National Weather Service In Albany, NY (For Southern Two Counties Of Vermont) has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for all of Vermont, and Northern New York. JRWeather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for all of Vermont, except the Champlain Valley, and Connecticut River Valley, and For all of Northern NY, and a Wind Advisory for the Western Slopes of the Green Mountains. The National Weather Service is forecasting 2-5 inches in the Champlain Valley, and 3-6 inches elsewhere, with all areas experiencing light icing. JRWeather is forecasting 1-3 inches for the Champlain Valley, and Connecticut River Valley. With 3-6 inches elsewhere, with all areas experiencing light icing, the eastern slopes of the green mountains could see local amounts in excess of 6 inches. National Weather Service Alerts, JRWeather Alerts, and Forecasted snow accumulations are on maps below...
     Computer models in better agreement for the most part on how the storm will evolve. An upper level low over the mid-west region and a surface low pressure system over the Southeast united states will work in unison to bring a variety of wintry precipitation starting as snow. The upper level low over the mid-west will help to bring in warm air over the region, as well as drawing significant moisture from the surface low, the surface low alone is also drawing a significant amount of moisture out of the gulf of Mexico, and eventually the Atlantic. Light snow should break out from South to North around 4-6PM. Snow will become increasingly heavy and will start to mix with sleet, and potentially some freezing rain, especially around/ after midnight. As the morning progresses snow/ sleet/ and freezing rain will change to mainly rain by mid-late Monday morning. Likely a bit earlier in the Champlain Valley, and a bit later in the St. Lawrence Valley, and the sheltered valleys of Northeastern Vermont.
     Another concern will be the strong wind potential. With a strong easterly component, wind will likely be funneled through the western slopes of the green mountains in the favorable downslope communities. There should be no damaging winds but occasional gusts up to 45-50MPH will be likely into Monday Afternoon. Travel will likely become difficult Sunday night into Monday Morning, snow is likely to fall heavy at times overnight. Conditions should improve as we get into the afternoon Monday. If your traveling, if possible wait until late Monday morning to travel, if you must travel earlier Monday morning, make sure to leave extra time to get to your destination, and drive defensively, leave plenty of room between you and other vehicles. Stay tuned for further updates...







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