Another Messy Mix For Sunday Night Into Monday Night

Local Update...
   Another Messy Wintry Mix Is Possible Across The Region For Sunday Night Into Monday Night...

     Currently models are indicating the potential for another wintry mix across the region. The 18Z NAM is showing not much of a storm, while the previous run 12Z showed 3-6 inches of snow. So I am not sure if its just a single run mishap on the model or not. I am still waiting for 18Z GFS to come in, but one thing that has been a trend on all the previous model runs, is weakening the storm system some, and moving it a bit further west. This would mean a wintry mix for much of Vermont, and Northern New York, including some rain. A few things that don't make sense to me, are the fact that a massive surge of cold air, makes it deep into the south, with a very strong squall line traveling across Cuba!! Now I understand a squall line can move through with a cold front, but the thing is, without a significantly strong storm, how is this cold air going to push this fast, this far south without the aid of a strong storm system. So I am not sure if the models are having a difficult time with showing the storm system or if they are inaccurately displaying the cold air surge. Hopefully the 00Z model runs or further model runs tomorrow will help clear things up a bit. At this point though, its a tough storm to call. I have not issued any maps as of yet, maybe I will later tonight, or tomorrow. Stay tuned.