Monday, November 24, 2008

Significant Storm System To Effect The Region

Local Update...
   Snow, Sleet, Freezing Rain, Plain Rain, and Strong To Damaging Winds To Effect Vermont, and Northern New York...

     The National Weather Service in Burlington Vermont, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the Northern Adirondack mountains, a High Wind Warning for the spine of the Green mountains, and northeastern Vermont, a Wind Advisory for Washington, and Orange Counties, and a Winter Weather Advisory for Windsor, Orange, and Eastern Rutland Counties. The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Flood Watch and Winter Weather Advisory for the southern two counties in Vermont. Below is my own alerts map that I issued, I have a few different points so my alerts map is a bit different.
     Computer models are indicating a complex weather system will strike the area, with a variety of different conditions. Its been difficult to forecast, and remains difficult, its pretty much one of those "Wait and see" type storms. Reason for this being the thermal profiles are split right over the top of the area, for instance Northern New York will see mainly snow, while Vermont, will likely see more rain. Models recently have trended just a tad cooler, which could mean more snow for eastern New York, and Western Vermont, however with shadowing from the green mountains due to the southeasterly winds, will cut down on precipitation totals, especially across the Northern Champlain Valley. So I have not adjusted snow totals that much, we will have to see how things unfold as precipitation starts to fall. One guarantee is everyone will see some snow, and there will be some strong winds. The most concerning area is for the communities along the western slopes of the green mountains, winds are forecasted to be in the 30 - 40MPH range with gusts as high as 70MPH. Check out the maps below, and stay tuned for further updates.





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