Friday, August 29, 2008

Gustav Strengthens; Hanna Remains The Same

GUSTAV UPDATE...
   Hurricane Gustav Strengthens...
     Hurricane Gustav is now packing sustained winds of 80MPH with gusts to 95MPH. Minimum central pressure is down to 974 millibars. Gustav is moving to the Northwest at 10MPH.
     Surprisingly the eye has not became as defined as expected on conventional satellite imagery. Hurricane hunters though have said there is an eye and its 25 nautical miles wide. Over the last several satellite images the cloud tops in the center have been warming, and the eye should become very well defined over the next 6 - 12 hours on conventional satellite imagery. Hurricane Gustav will continue to steadily strengthen and some rapid intensification is possible. Gustav still looks likely to become the first major hurricane of the season. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting it to get up to a peak intensity of 132MPH which is a Devastating Category 4 Hurricane. It would not be a surprise to see Gustav become a Category 5 Hurricane for a short period of time.
     Computer models continue to indicate that a landfall will likely occur from the Texas/ Louisiana border, to the Alabama/ Florida border. The center which is still hard to forecast a landfall for, due to the fact there is still a lot of time left, looks to move ashore on the South-Central coast of Louisiana. Even though this track does not bring it directly over New Orleans, it is still close enough to cause extensive damaged, and with unfinished levees around the city this could be Catastrophic. If the the center moved on land a bit closer to New Orleans then it without a doubt would cause unbelievable devastation for the City. People in New Orleans need to pack up necessities and evacuate. Do not risk your life, because you think Gustav wont strike the area. Prepare for the worst, and hope for the best. Unfortunately the worst looks to happen. Please don't take this lightly and please don't wait until its too late...

HANNA UPDATE...
     Tropical Storm Hanna remains at its same intensity. Pressure appears to be a bit higher, so its not intensifying. Hanna remains with sustained winds of 50MPH with higher gusts. Hanna is continuing to experience some shear from a weakening upper level low to the west of Hanna. Slight intensification is likely over the next several days and Hanna could become a minimal hurricane in a couple days. Hanna is expected to move toward the northwest and then stall out and move erratically in about 72 - 96 hours. Stay tuned for further updates on both tropical systems. At this point though Gustav will remain the priority.

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