Significant Storm System To Bring Snow To The Northeast

Local Update...
   A Strong Storm System Is Expected To Bring Snow To Portions Of The Northeast...

     The National Weather Service in Burlington has issued a winter storm watch for the St. Lawrence Valley, and the Northern Adirondack mountains for the potential of 8 - 12 inches of Snow. Other National Weather Service offices have issued Winter Storm Watches, Winter Storm Warnings, and Winter Weather Advisories for other portions of Central, and Northern New York.
     Computer models have came into much better agreement, and have also shifted further west. Bringing a 984 millibar low over Central New England. Which means less snow for Vermont, and New Hampshire. Everyone will still likely see some snow but some areas may not get as much as first thought. Its still tough to call, if the storm tracks 50 miles to the east, it will bring significant snow to Vermont, and if it goes further west, then it would mean less snow for Central, and Northern New York. Below you will find an image showing where the low pressure system is expected to form, and the two potential tracks. At this time the yellow track is the one that is currently forecasted. The low pressure system will move North from the Delmarva peninsula area, and track North into South-Central New England, at this point the deeply digging trough (talked about in previous posts) is expected to negatively tilt causing the low pressure center to back slightly and track to the northwest a bit. Unfortunately this track will place too much warm air over New Hampshire, Vermont, and the Champlain Valley, to bring a significant snowfall. Although towards the end of the storm we will get in on colder air changing the rain to snow.
     Rain showers will become more numerous tonight, and continue into Tuesday morning, mixing with and changing to snow by afternoon in Northern and Central New York, rain will continue across Vermont until late evening, when rain will mix with and change over to snow. Snow will continue into Wednesday morning when it will taper off. The Champlain valley and lower elevations in Vermont may see a mix with rain as the storm winds down. Also of concern are strong winds. Winds should increase into the 15 - 30MPH range with gusts to 50MPH by late Tuesday. Higher elevations could see gusts to 60MPH. Snowfall accumulations in Northern New York will range from 6 - 12 inches. The Champlain Valley, and other lower elevations in Vermont will see 1 - 3 inches of snow, and the Western Slopes of the Green Mountains, and higher elevations will see 3 - 6 inches with locally higher amounts.