Significant Snow Storm Looking More LIkely

Local Update...
   All Weather Models Coming On Board With A Possible Significant Snowstorm For Tuesday Night into Wednesday Night...

     Things are looking increasingly likely for a potential significant snowfall across Northern New York, and Northern Vermont. Nearly all computer models are coming into agreement, with the track of the storm system. The ECMWF has appeared to have performed amazingly thus far, this model has been indicating a potential significant storm system including some snow for about a week. The NAM model came onto the storm early sunday, and the GFS has just came in indicating a similar track as the other models have been showing. Another significant piece of information is the fact that nearly all of them indicate the storm system significantly intensifing. The GFS 00Z run brings the central pressure to 980mb, 00Z NAM brings the central pressure to 980mb, and the 00Z ECMWF run bring the central pressure to 984mb. So it looks like this storm is going to intensify sooner, and stronger then expected. This would also bring on a threat of very strong winds. But we will wait a couple more model runs before we begin to write it in stone.
     So at this point it looks like everyone will see some snow. But the most significant snowfall will occur in the higher elevations. Larger Valley locations will see some significant rain. It still depends on how strong the storm gets, if it does get to around 980mb while moving across Maine, into Southeastern Quebec, then enough cold air may be wrapped in to bring some significant snow to Valley locations. Unfortunatlty due to the time of year, its going to be tough to get the valleys to fill with significant snowfall. We will see how things unfold. I am still sticking with 1 - 3 inches of snow in the larger Valleys, to 4 - 8 inches in the higher elevations. But please remember these are very early estimates. There is more then enough time for things to change. For the most part it looks like a significant valley rain maker, and mountain snow maker. So please, stay tunned.