I wanted to update earlier but I was unable to. The update was about the flooding potential shifting to the north. Vermont Agency of Transportation (AOT) had reported some flooding in Montgomery Center earlier today. I will get back to the flooding situation shortly. First I want to explain what is causing it all.
A pesky stalled out upper level low has been causing the recent unsettled weather. Unfortunately things wont be changing anytime soon. There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms for the next 5 days, as then upper level low parks itself over the region. Showers and thunderstorms will be most common during the afternoon, and evening hours, as the sun will help destabilize the atmosphere. None of these storms are expected to be severe, but due to the cold air aloft, small hail, and gusts to 35 MPH are possible in any thunderstorms.
Now back to the Flooding situation/ potential. I have not heard anymore on the flooding in Montgomery Center, from what I heard earlier though, it was not severe flooding just some minor road, and poor drainage flooding. Storms that formed today just sat there and back built causing moderate to heavy rain fall over the same areas that have seen thunderstorms the past several days. So needless to say the ground is saturated and its starting to show. If any strong thunderstorms form tomorrow (6/18) then they could produce enough rain to cause some additional flooding. I feel there is a slight risk for flash flooding. So the map that I have issued shows where the highest flooding potential is. Now I want to urge, this map does not mean there is going to be widespread major flooding, it just shows the areas with the highest likely hood of seeing some flooding. The area shaded in red, has the highest threat of isolated flash flooding with any back building strong thunderstorms. Once again, no widespread flooding of any type is expected.
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