Before I get onto the current flood threat, I just wanted to brush over the last post about the Severe Weather Outbreak. I was unable to update again on that due to work. But the severe weather outbreak did materialize causing widespread damage across Northern New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire. A tornado watch was issued around 9AM, although no "confirmed" Tornadoes were spotted, approx. 15 people in Richford Vermont witnessed a funnel cloud dropping to the ground. Another unconfirmed Tornado occurred in South Central Vermont with a damage path about 300 feet wide, and 3 miles long. The storms also took the life of a Swanton Man, and nearly claimed the life of another, the two men who were out on Lake Champlain in a Canoe, were unable to take cover, when the line of Severe Thunderstorms swept through. The Canoe capsized with the two men inside, the Canoe struck one man in the head knocking him out, and subsequently drowning. The other man in the Canoe was uninjured.
     Now to the Flash Flood Threat. Today although upper air dynamics are not outstanding, enhanced CAPE, lifted index, and Total Totals will aid in the continuation of Thunderstorm development. Some of which could be isolated severe. The main threat will be for flooding though, as preceptable water values are near 2 inches, and dewpoints in the upper 60's and low 70's. With upper air dynamics being low, these storms have the ability to move very slow, and back build, enhancing the flood threat. Storms could drop 1 to as much as 3 inches in a short period of time. The place of most concern will be the Western slopes of the Green Mountains into eastern Vermont. This area has the most hilly terrain which may prove problematic. National Weather Service Flash Flood Guidance indicates that anywhere from 1.8 to 2.5 inches of rain would be needed in 1 hour to produce flash flooding. This is quite a bit of rain but this is very possible with the extremely moist atmosphere, and slow moving/ back building thunderstorms. I do want to urge though, this is not a widespread Flash Flood Threat. Below are maps of the areas most likely to see any type of flooding.

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