Just wanted to update on the delayed timing of precipitation, and a very quick discussion on the storm. Due to strong arctic air, snows onset was delayed by several hours from my previous forecast. I was a tad bit early on those numbers as it was, it was late, and I was tired, needed to get to bed, so I made a mistake. Whoops! Who doesnt right?
Anyway back to weather...Currently impressive warm air advection is occuring with snow falling across New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire now. Snow is falling moderate to heavy at times. Nearly all areas should get in on some heavy snow with rates of one inch per hour for a couple hours. I still feel some forecasts are too high on snowfall accumulation. Especially with intruding dryslot being drawn in from an upper level low near the great lakes region, while the primary low continues to form east of the Mississippi River Vallet. Down below is a saved radar shot, that depicts where the drier air is.
Either way my snowfall forecast went up, but not as high as some forecasters have, especially across Northern Vermont, and Northern New York. Other then those areas, my accumulations forecast is similar...
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